The TRUTH about Sports

LOCK of the Week

Ok, so it happened…all you haters got what you wanted. After 5 glorious weeks, the Big Dog finally lost one. Stupid overrated Jets is all I can say. But watch me bounce back.  And boy do I have a doozy for you.  The Buffalo Bills -1 at the Miami Dolphins.  Sure this might look like a trap game, being favored by only 1 point, but the Bills are for real.  They have the second best record in the league.  They’re coming off a big win against the Chargers and while they might not whoop the Dolphins, they surely will cover. So don’t wait, do it, bet it. Let’s start another streak.

October 23, 2008 Posted by | Ara, NFL | , , , , , | Leave a comment

LOCK of the Week

5-0!!! 5-0!!! 5-0!!! For those of you who haven’t been following/profiting from my picks over the past month, I’ve hit a career high 5 “LOCK of the Week”s in a row.  Yeah, I’m bragging and jinxing but I do know at least one person has been profiting from my “advice.”  The secret to my success…well, I can’t tell you or else it wouldn’t be a secret and you wouldn’t need me anymore.  Enough of the boasting, time for business. This week’s spreads are pretty tough. There aren’t that many games that I like but you know me, I haven’t let you down in over a month and I don’t plan on doing so now.  So without further adue, the LOCK of the Week is NY Jets -3 at the Oakland Raiders.  Take the Jets -3, take it now, take it before the spread moves.  Vegas has the line at -3 and well, that’s where I’ve placed my bets.  These two franchises are going in two different directions.  The Jets are serious playoff contenders and the Raiders, well I hate to use a cliche` but they are MAJOR pretenders.  The Jets are coming off a solid performance against the Bengals while the Raiders, just another embarrassing 34-3 loss at the hands of the Saints.

October 14, 2008 Posted by | NFL FOOTBALL | , , , , , , | Leave a comment


ben roethlisberger onthebuzzer.comOK, so my regular season didn’t go so well. But the post-season is where I step up. I’m a clutch players, everyone around me knows that, or at least I’m sure they’re thinking it. But without any further delay, here are my picks for this upcoming playoff weekend. I’m feeling good about these.

Saturday’s Games:

Redskins @ Seahawks -3.5: Seattle is one of the toughest places to play. The Seahawks have been flying under the radar the whole season. Their passing game is solid and can put up some major points. I can’t see the ‘skins hanging offensively with the ‘hawks. Take the home team.

Jaguars -2.5 @ Steelers: The only home team to be an underdog. Call me crazy, but I like the Steelers. There’s no way that they get beat at home twice in the same season. The cold weather will have an effect on those guys from the south. Look for Ben and Co. to surprise all…

Sunday’s Games:

Giants @ Buccaneers -3: NY is playing well. They are a good team. Their offensive is clicking even without Shockey. As long as Manning doesn’t throw the game away, they have a chance to win. Bucs have a hard time putting up points. Take the Giants with the points, don’t get crazy and go for the money line.

Titans @ Chargers -9: Chargers beat the Titans in Tennessee during the regular season. Vince’s quad is hurting and will affect his mobility. Norv Turner has finally learned that L.T.=win. Look for the Chargers to pound and give the Titans a big dose of L.T. Take San Diego with the points.

January 4, 2008 Posted by | Ara, NFL FOOTBALL | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment


Fine, I had a run of bad luck in week 16, going 6-8.  But in my defense, it was upset city and everyone probably f-ed up.  With that said, here are week 17s picks.  Remember, most teams usually bench their starters so I can’t promise anything. Here goes nothing:

Patriots -13.5 @ Giants: Another game, another blowout, take the evil Pats.

Bills @ Eagles -7.5: The way the Eagles are playing, take ’em.

Panthers -3 @ Bucs: I’m taking the Bucs to finish the season strong.

Bengals -2.5 @ Dolphins: Ready for this, Dolphins to double their win total this week.

Lions @ Packers -3.5: Lions are heinous, take the Pack in a bounce back game.

Jaguars @ Texans -6.5: Jags have nothing to play for and will probably rest their starters.  Texans should win, but by 6.5.  Tough call.  Take the Jags and that mystique.

Saints -2 @ Bears: Take the Bears, the real Saints have shown up again.

Steelers -3.5 @ Ravens: Even the Steelers practice squad can beat the Ravens.

Seahawks @ Falcons -1.5: Seahawks, same reason as Steelers.

49ers @ Browns -10: Browns have been stumbling but are battling for a playoff spot, take ’em.

Titans -6 @ Colts: I’m rooting for Vince to make the playoffs, so this might be an emotional pick.

Vikings -3 @ Broncos: Look for Denver to spoil the Vike’s hopes of a playoff berth.

Chargers -9 @ Raiders: Chargers will demolish the Raiders, and their nation while they’re at it too.

Rams @ Cardinals -6.5: Cards offense is potent.  I can’t see the Rams playing their guns. Take the birds.

Chiefs @ Jets -6.5: I’m a Chiefs fan, but they need to end this miserable season. Take the Jets.

December 28, 2007 Posted by | Ara, NFL FOOTBALL | , , , , , | Leave a comment


OK, so who doesn’t have a bad week?  Well, talk about bouncing back, here goes nothing:

P.S. I already nailed the Steelers v. Rams game so technically I’m 1-0 but who’s counting.

Cowboys -10.5 @ Panthers:  ‘boys are either going to rumble or stumble into the playoffs, I’m betting on the former.  Take ’em.

Browns -3 @ Bengals: I’ve been taking the Browns to the Superbowl, an picking them too.  Bengals defense is heinous, take the dogpound.

Packers -9 @ Bears: GB hasn’t messed around all year, and the Bears suck.  Take the Pack in a blowout.

Texans @ Colts -7:  Colts at home, I wondering why the spread is so little?

Chiefs @ Lions -4.5: Looks like the Chiefs are taking the year off.  The Lions passing game should make this an easy victory.

Dolphins @ Patriots -22: Not in that weather, date the ‘phins and the points.

Giants -2.5 @ Bills:  Take the Bills as they are trying to keep their playoff hopes alive.  The G-men are struggling mightily.

Raiders @ Jags -13:  After what the Jags did to the Steelers at Heinz last week, this should be a no-brainer, and it is.

Eagles @ Saints -3.5: Saints are fighting for a playoff spot and this is just what the doctor ordered, well that and a Bush injury.

Redskins @ Vikings -5.5: I’m having a hard time seeing anyone stop the Vikings right now in the NFC.  Take ’em.

Ravens @ Seahawks -11: Ravens suck, plain and simple.  Take the ‘hawks, but beware the infamous “sitting out good players for the playoffs” tactic.

Jets @ Titans -8.5: Titans looked good last week. I like what I see. I’m actually rooting to make playoffs.

Buccaneers -6 @ 49ers: Garcia’s comeback to S.F.  Oh, this is gonna be a whoopin.

Broncos @ Chargers -9: Da’ Chargers.  Their gift to the Broncos will be an ass-whoopin’.

December 22, 2007 Posted by | Ara, NFL FOOTBALL | , , , , , , , | Leave a comment


It’s that time of the week again, when I make you rich.  Here goes nothing, remember, I went 10-4 last week, not bad. I’m getting hot, and at the right time too.

Thursday, December 13, 2007

Denver Broncos @ Houston Texans – 1: I think the Broncos are a fluke, going to Texas on a Thursday Night, take the Texans.

Saturday, December 15, 2007

Cincinnati Bengals -8 @ San Francisco 49ers: Take the Niners and the points, Bengals are a bad team, especially on the road.

Sunday, December 16, 2007

Baltimore Ravens -3.5 @ Miami Dolphins: I’m sticking with the ‘phins at home, they HAVE to win 1 and this may be their only chance.

Buffalo Bills  @ Cleveland Browns -6: Browns are for real, they should pull away from the BIlls.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Pittsburgh Steelers  -4: Heinz is a tough place to play, Steelers grind it out.

New York Jets @ New England Patriots -24: Spygate part 2, look for the Pats to punish.

Seattle Seahawks -7 @ Carolina Panthers: Take the ‘hawks, the Panthers are horrific.

Tennessee Titans -4 @ Kansas City Chiefs: Arrowhead a tough place to play, Chiefs have to win 1, take ’em.

Indianapolis Colts -10.5 @ Oakland Raiders: Colts will blast the Raiders, this is a no-brainer.

Detroit Lions @ San Diego Chargers -10: Two teams going in opposite directions, take the Chargers.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys -10: T.O. against his old team, big game coming up.

Washington Redskins @ New York Giants -4.5: Giants heading to playoffs.  It’s gonna be ugly but they should pull it off.

Arizona Cardinals @ New Orleans Saints -3.5: Saints looked good last week, I’m sticking with them.

Atlanta Falcons @ T.B. Buccaneers -13.5: Take the Falcons, they should cover, not win, just cover.

Green Bay Packers -9.5 @ St. Louis Rams: The Pack will attack, and cover of course.

Monday, December 17, 2007

Chicago Bears  @ Minnesota Vikings -9.5: Vike defense is the better D, whoever thunk that.  Take them to bust the Bears.

December 13, 2007 Posted by | Ara, NFL FOOTBALL | , , , , , , | Leave a comment


onthebuzzer.com sports bookOK, I went 9-7 last week, not bad, at least it’s positive.  Should’ve done better, though with Favre getting injured and those damn Browns. Anyway, no need to dwell on the past, here’s Week 14, and I’m feeling good about it.

Thursday Night

Bears @ ‘skins -3:  Take the ‘skins.  Bears are no good at home. Bonus: take the under too.


Panthers @ Jaguars -10.5: Spread is big, but the Jags are solid and Carolina isn’t.

Dolphins @ Bills -7: I’m going out on a limb, take the ‘phins and the point.  I feel for these guys.

Giants @ Eagles -3: Giants are overrated, Eagles at home should cover in this rivalry game.

Raiders at Pack -10: Pack is back, after 10 days rest.  Defense should shut down Raiders

Steelers @ Pats -10.5: Just when you think it’s gonna be close, think again. Pats to pound an overrated Steelers D.

Chargers -1 @ Titans: Chargers have been electric, ride it!!!

Rams @ Bengals -6.5: I like the Rams BUT I just can’t see them outshooting the Bengals, take the home team.

Cards @ ‘hawks -7:This to a shootout, but Seattle is a tough place to play, home team, home team.

Vikes -8.5 @ 49ers: Vikes are legit, but the spread scares me.  Alright, take the Vikes.

Browns -3.5 @ Jets: Browns to pound Jets in a big way after starting off slow against Cards last week.

Chiefs @ Broncos -6.5: Chiefs are really bad, Broncos are just bad, take Denver.

Colts -9 @ Ravens: I like what I saw in the Ravens, Colts alway struggle against Ray & Co., take Baltimore and the points.

Monday Night 

Saints -4 @ Falcons: A lot of controversy with the Saint, but the Falcons are heinous.  Take the Saints.

I’m feeling good fellow gamblers.  I guess I’ve felt that before but something different this time, some sort of burning sensation… ummm… did I say that out loud?

December 6, 2007 Posted by | Ara, NFL FOOTBALL | , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Week 14 College Picks

top25.jpg1- (9) Oklahoma at (1) Missouri – Strong game by Mizzou last week, look for a bit of a letdown this week. Sooners more experienced in big games. I like Oklahoma -3.
2- UCLA at (8) USC – Rose Bowl on the line. Bruins must get off to a good start if they want a chance to win this. Won’t happen! SC will win, just a matter of how much. Take USC -18.5.
3- (6) Virginia Tech at (12) Boston College – Tech looking good, but my gut says go with BC. They are due for a monster game and this is their chance to shine at home. I like Boston College +5.
4- Oregon State at (18) Oregonpadlock3.jpg – As much as I would like to think the Ducks can find a way to win, they won’t. Beavers win a close one. My lock! Take Oregon State -1.
5- (14) Tennessee at (5) LSU – Once again the Tigers screwed me last week! It took me all year, but this is the one. LSU looks to rebound. Vols won’t know what hit them. I like LSU -7.
6- Washington at (11) Hawaii – They think I am crazy, but I believe this one to be closer than most people think. The Warriors squeak it out and keep their BCS Bowl hopes alive. Take Washington +14.
7- Pittsburgh
at (2) W. Virginia – Looking better and better every week. They may take Pitt a bit too lightly, looking ahead to the National Championship game, but Mountaineers win. Not by as much as people think though. I like Pittsburgh +29.
8- Arizona at (13) Arizona State – Almost always a good game between these two teams, don’t expect anything less this time. Close throughout with the home to pulling away at the end. Take Arizona State -7.
9- (21) BYU at San Diego State
– How BYU doesn’t blow them out I don’t know. This game should be close for only a quarter. Prove you belong in the top 25! I like BYU -16
10. Army at Navy – Always entertaining, Navy the much better team. Close early, blowout late. Navy runs away at home. Take Navy -14.

December 1, 2007 Posted by | Eddie, NCAA FOOTBALL | , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

NFL Picks Week 13

Green Bay @ Dallas -6.5: This is gonna be a fight to the finish, I’ll take the Pack with the points.

Buffalo @ Washington -5.5: ‘skins are very emotional right now with Taylor’s death, look for a whoopin’!!!

San Francisco @ Carolina -2.5: Niners suck , especially on the road, the Panthers should take this easily…

Jacksonville @ Indianapolis -7: Indy is struggling, and the Jags are legit, take the Jags with the points.

San Diego -4 @Kansas City: Chargers are back, L.T. should run all over the injured Chiefs.

NY Jets @ Miami -1: Here you go guys, introducing the 1 win Miami Dolphins.

Detroit @ Minnesota -3.5: Peterson who??? These Vikes aren’t bad, take ’em.

Seattle @ Philadelphia -3: Seattle’s a fraud but Philly is worse, take the ‘hawk

Atlanta @ St. Louis (no line): Rams are good, even without Bulger, take ’em at home…

Houston @ Tennessee -4: time for Vince to shine again, take the Titans.

Cleveland @ Arizona -1: This spread boggles me, the Browns are a good team without any major injuries, take ’em.

Denver -3 @ Oakland: Shanahan does not lose to the Raiders. That’s a lock.

NY Giants -1 @ Chicago: Bears will stifle Eli and co., go BEARS!!!

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans -3: Which team is showing up for each side? When in doubt, take the home team.

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh -7: Tough one, I’ll take the Steelers.

New England -20 @ Baltimore: Ray Lewis, MNF, at home, no way he gets embarrassed. Take the Ravens and the points.

I’m feeling good about these picks, wait a minute…didn’t I say that last week???

November 29, 2007 Posted by | Ara, NFL FOOTBALL | , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Week 13 College Picks-Results

top25.jpg1- (2) Kansas vs (4) Missouri – Mizzou was no doubt the better team. Entertaining game throughout. Kansas’ defense and offense exposed in this one. 36-28 Missouri… got it wrong.
2- (11) USC at (7) Arizona Statepadlock3.jpg – Someone smells the roses, and it’s not ASU. A good old fashioned butt whoopin’ by USC. Just a reminder to everyone who ownes the Pac 10. My lock! 44-24 USC… nailed it!
3- Arkansas at (1) LSU – The Tigers keep on screwing me. Missed another LSU game and congrats to the Razorbacks. Adios National Championship. Adios Les Miles. 50-48 Arkansas… got it wrong.
4- (13) Texas at Texas A & M – Another game, another upset. Just when we think the better team will win, A & M shocks the world. 38-30 Texas A & M… got it wrong.
5- (19) Boise State at (14) Hawaii – Warriors almost sure to get a BCS bid. Maybe play USC in the Rose Bowl? Could happen if Ohio State goes to the Championship game. 39-27 Hawaii… nailed it!
6- (8) Virginia Tech at (16) Virginia – Should have gone with my instincts. Tech looked very good on the road in a rivalry game. 33-21 Virginia Tech… got it wrong.
(9) Oregon at UCLA – I would feel sorry for them, but they didn’t seem to feel sorry for USC when they beat them without their starting QB and 2 lineman. Better luck next year Oregon. 16-0 UCLA… nailed it!
8- (7) Georgia at Georgia Tech – Now can we give them respect? Solid performance on the road in a hostile environment. Kudos for a great year. 31-17 Georgia… nailed it!
9- Oklahoma State at (10) Oklahoma
– We knew the Sooners were better, but we didn’t know State would lay an egg! What was that? Nice fumble at the goal line. Oklahoma crushes State. 49-17 Oklahoma… got it wrong.
10-Miami at (14) Boston College – Almost got this one. BC pushes against a bad Miami team. 28-14 Boston College… pushed!

Recap: Very disappointed. A man of my caliber should not have weeks like this, but just goes to show you even I am not perfect. Once again got my lock though! 4-5-1

November 25, 2007 Posted by | Eddie, NCAA FOOTBALL | , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment